Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 38 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | -1.6 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -1.7 |
| Tru Washington | 32 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.6 |
| C.J. Noland | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 25 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -9.0 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 15 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -9.9 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Kayde Dotson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd | 34 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +8.8 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Miles Byrd | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 17 | +16.2 |
| BJ Davis | 27 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +13.8 |
| Miles Heide | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Taj Degourville | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter