Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +17 (64-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart | 39 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -16.2 |
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -16.4 |
| Andrew Meadow | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -27.2 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Javan Buchanan | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| RJ Keene | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Julian Bowie | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.7 |
| Chris Lockett | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Dylan Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd | 36 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | +24.3 |
| Magoon Gwath | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | +18.7 |
| Miles Byrd | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +17.9 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +11.1 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +19.3 |
| Miles Heide | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +13.9 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Taj Degourville | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +4.2 |
* = starter