Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd | 32 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Miles Byrd | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Magoon Gwath | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +3.5 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +8.6 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 24 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Taj Degourville | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| Miles Heide | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yap | 36 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Jermaine Washington | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Latrell Davis | 35 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | -11.2 |
| Robert Vaihola | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -0.2 |
| Sadaidriene Hall | 23 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Sadraque NgaNga | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +5.9 |
| S. Vasquez | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Chol Marial | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Pasha Goodarzi | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
* = starter