Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim | 36 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Dontaie Allen | 36 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +0.5 |
| Oleg Kojenets | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Nesbitt | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | +2.7 |
| Kobe Newton | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +14.1 |
| A.J. Wills | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Abou Magassa | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Matija Belic | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Scottie Ebube | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Cole Henry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Touko Tainamo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magoon Gwath | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | -1.2 |
| Nick Boyd | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Miles Byrd | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Miles Heide | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +18.2 |
| BJ Davis | 27 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +8.5 |
| Taj Degourville | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10.9 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter