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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% - ✓
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 ✓ (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.0% 79.0% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sadaidriene Hall 35 2-10 0-4 3-4 9 4 2 0 2 7 10 +6.8
Josh Uduje 35 6-13 5-9 4-4 2 2 4 0 3 21 13 -7.6
Will McClendon 30 1-5 1-5 0-2 3 3 1 0 2 3 3 +3.8
Robert Vaihola 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 0 6 -3.3
D. Yap 30 4-11 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 11 3 -12.0
Latrell Davis 24 7-11 5-7 4-7 0 1 1 0 1 23 13 -8.3
Chol Marial 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -1.1
Jermaine Washington 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.9

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Magoon Gwath 34 9-15 3-6 3-3 7 1 0 1 3 24 15 -0.6
Miles Byrd 33 5-10 3-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 13 6 +5.3
Nick Boyd 29 4-10 1-3 2-3 9 5 1 0 1 11 15 +8.1
Miles Heide 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 5 6 +8.0
Taj Degourville 24 2-6 0-1 2-3 3 4 2 0 3 6 6 -6.1
BJ Davis 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 2 +7.4
Pharaoh Compton 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -0.6
Wayne Mckinney Iii 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -5.6
Kimo Ferrari 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.1
Demarshay Johnson Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter