Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 39 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Jaden Henley | 30 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Julian Rishwain | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 25 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +8.5 |
| Jailen Bedford | 24 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Jalen Hill | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.5 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5.2 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 34 | 7-20 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | -2.0 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +9.6 |
| Nick Boyd | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -2.4 |
| BJ Davis | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Taj Degourville | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +16.9 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +4.4 |
| Magoon Gwath | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Miles Heide | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter