Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 39 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -3 | -13.7 |
| Kyan. Evans | 30 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | -9.5 |
| Jalen Lake | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -10.9 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Keshawn Williams | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -15.9 |
| Ethan Morton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16.5 |
| Bowen Born | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.8 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 33 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 24 | +15.6 |
| Magoon Gwath | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +15.4 |
| Nick Boyd | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +6.1 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +9.5 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +14.8 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +17.8 |
| Miles Heide | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Taj Degourville | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +13.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.7 |
* = starter