Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +14 (62-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 33 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Nick Boyd | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -11.0 |
| Magoon Gwath | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -5.9 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 28 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -12.9 |
| BJ Davis | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Taj Degourville | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -9.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Miles Heide | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustapha Amzil | 33 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | +14.3 |
| Donovan Dent | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +17.2 |
| Tru Washington | 29 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +6.4 |
| C.J. Noland | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +9.9 |
| Kayde Dotson | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Braden Appelhans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinton Webb | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter