Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 34 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +16.0 |
| Nick Boyd | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +16.5 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | +17.1 |
| Magoon Gwath | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +17.0 |
| Taj Degourville | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +4.7 |
| BJ Davis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Miles Heide | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6.0 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart | 37 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -12.9 |
| Andrew Meadow | 34 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -20.5 |
| Chris Lockett | 27 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -16.6 |
| Alvaro Cardenas | 27 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | -15.7 |
| Javan Buchanan | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -2.3 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Julian Bowie | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +7.1 |
| RJ Keene | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Dylan Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter