Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven Dahlke | 38 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -13.2 |
| Kjay Bradley Jr. | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | -14.7 |
| Santiago Trouet | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Bendji Pierre | 24 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Tony Duckett | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Steven Jamerson II | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -11.2 |
| David Simon | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Kody Clouet | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Colby Brooks | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Dominic Muncey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +15.0 |
| Miles Byrd | 29 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +10.4 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +9.8 |
| BJ Davis | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Miles Heide | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +14.6 |
| Taj Degourville | 17 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +15.3 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.5 |
| Magoon Gwath | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.8 |
* = starter