Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson * | 34 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 5 | +12.1 |
| N. Rocak * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | +13.9 |
| L. DeBruhl * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +9.8 |
| P. Tamba * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -2.3 |
| S. Lose * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1.6 |
| C. Sevilla | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +6.4 |
| N. Cooper | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +13.7 |
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +6.1 |
| I. Chappell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.5 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coles * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -7.5 |
| R. Harrison * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -10.6 |
| C. Moore * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | -14.1 |
| T. Grant-Foster * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 10 | +6.4 |
| L. Wur * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -11.2 |
| M. Williams | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -5.1 |
| C. Shaw | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -10.2 |
| S. Phipps | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.8 |
| A. Maurer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
* = starter