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2024-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.3% 90.7% - โœ“
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +26.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Richard * 23 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 8 1 -17.1
J. Square * 22 0-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 -1.0
Zach Visentin * 22 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 8 10 -13.1
LoLo Rudolph * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -5.0
Freddie Cooper * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -10.0
Donovan Oday 27 2-11 0-2 4-5 5 1 1 0 0 8 4 -12.1
Antwan Robinson 25 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 2 -6.0
Kaleb Brown 24 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 6 0 0 3 1 4 -19.1
Davis Bynum 19 5-9 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 7 -2.1
Kendrick De Luna 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 7 1 -
Zion Richardson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.0

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Kingz * 37 6-9 6-9 4-7 8 2 1 1 0 22 25 +19.1
Michael Rataj * 37 7-13 0-4 4-4 10 3 2 0 4 18 16 +19.1
Damarco Minor * 25 3-9 1-4 2-2 1 5 3 2 0 9 11 +21.1
Parsa Fallah * 17 0-1 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 1 1 1 6 +6.0
Isaiah Sy * 15 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6 +11.0
Liutauras Lelevicius 30 4-8 3-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 12 7 +22.1
Matthew Marsh 21 1-2 0-0 6-6 3 0 2 1 2 8 10 -2.0
Josiah Lake II 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.0
DaJohn Craig 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter