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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.4% 77.6% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 10.8% 89.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: Pacific Tigers +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Rudolph * 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 3 7 +2.1
D. Oday * 27 2-8 2-5 3-7 6 3 0 0 1 9 9 -8.9
J. Square * 27 4-9 0-0 6-6 4 1 1 0 1 14 10 +7.1
K. Richard * 24 5-11 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 12 5 +0.1
Z. Visentin * 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 0 0 1 6 +3.0
K. De Luna 24 5-8 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
Ka. Brown 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -10.9
Z. Richardson 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -14.0
K. Young 13 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -11.0
A. Robinson 11 1-6 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -4.0

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Fisher * 40 5-14 1-5 6-10 4 4 0 0 3 17 8 +8.9
L. Washington * 40 5-8 2-3 5-5 4 7 1 0 4 17 17 +8.9
E. Ralph * 35 5-9 0-3 3-4 5 3 1 2 3 13 12 +8.9
J. Gardner * 25 4-6 0-0 1-3 11 0 0 3 2 9 15 +1.9
J. Koulibaly * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.0
P. Krivokapic 33 1-6 1-5 2-2 12 0 0 0 1 5 10 +7.0
S. Jones 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 +6.0
S. Ominu 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
B. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter