Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +0.4 |
| J. Quaintance * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -7.3 |
| A. Miller * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.0 |
| BJ Freeman * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +12.0 |
| B. Jihad * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +4.0 |
| J. Sanon | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +0.2 |
| S. Phillips | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8.2 |
| A. Ali | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.9 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dent * | 34 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 18 | +0.1 |
| M. Amzil * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 13-14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | +2.3 |
| C.J. Noland * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +6.2 |
| T. Washington * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.8 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -8.3 |
| F. Borovicanin | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +2.0 |
| A. Ally Atiki | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +9.5 |
| K. Dotson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| B. Appelhans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| I. Sacko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.6 |
| J. Milicevic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.4 |
* = starter