Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Bal * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Carlos Stewart * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | -4.6 |
| Christoph Tilly * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -7.3 |
| Tyeree Bryan * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Johnny O'Neil * | 11 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -4.7 |
| Elijah Mahi | 28 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -9.6 |
| Jake Ensminger | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -6.1 |
| Camaron Tongue | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Brenton Knapper | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Bukky Oboye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Quaintance * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | +9.3 |
| Adam Miller * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Joson Sanon * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Alston Mason * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Basheer Jihad * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -2.3 |
| BJ Freeman | 26 | 4-14 | 3-12 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | +13.4 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Austin Nunez | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Amier Ali | 13 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +12.7 |
* = starter