Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hyder * | 35 | 9-18 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | -5.3 |
| I. Jessup * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -1.0 |
| O. Koonce * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -3.8 |
| L. Tarlac * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6.5 |
| M. Riniker * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +6.8 |
| K. Elliott | 24 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +0.4 |
| P. Bandelj | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -12.8 |
| P. Bizimana | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3.0 |
| A. Price Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Menzies | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +4.5 |
| J. Quaintance * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 17 | +10.4 |
| A. Miller * | 33 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +6.1 |
| BJ Freeman * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -0.3 |
| B. Jihad * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -0.9 |
| J. Sanon | 28 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | +5.1 |
| A. Ali | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1.6 |
* = starter