Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UAB Blazers -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaud Marshall | 42 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | +17.2 |
| Taryn Todd | 41 | 12-26 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 16 | +17.1 |
| Joseph Pinion | 40 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Kobe Julien | 34 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | +11.0 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +11.0 |
| Avery Felts | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| Derrian Ford | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.0 |
| Kameron Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -15.9 |
| Justin Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Cody Head | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 43 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 25 | -7.1 |
| Tyren Moore | 35 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | -16.9 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -13.1 |
| Efrem Johnson | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Christian Coleman | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Alejandro Vasquez | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Bradley Ezewiro | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Tony Toney | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.4 |
* = starter