Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Amos | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Trae Broadnax | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -8.2 |
| Caden Powell | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +4.8 |
| Alem Huseinovic | 26 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Denver Anglin | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Andrew Akuchie | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Jacob Dar | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Emory Lanier | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Trey Patterson | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Aaron Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Morgan | 36 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +9.4 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 35 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Christian Turner | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 24 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +15.4 |
| Tylan Pope | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +12.0 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Coleton Benson | 15 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Austin Green | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter