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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Liutauras Lelevicius * 34 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 -1 -0.9
Michael Rataj * 32 5-10 2-4 3-4 7 1 1 1 7 15 8 -1.3
Damarco Minor * 31 2-7 0-4 3-4 6 6 3 0 3 7 12 -1.3
Nate Kingz * 29 3-5 3-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 10 9 +9.1
Parsa Fallah * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 6 -2.8
Josiah Lake II 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 7 9 -6.4
Matthew Marsh 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +2.2
Isaiah Sy 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 0 -8.7
DaJohn Craig 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -0.7
Maxim Logue 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +0.2
Ja'Quavis Williford 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.2

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rondel Walker * 29 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 3 7 +0.8
Atin Wright * 27 1-7 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 5 4 -12.4
Jasper Floyd * 25 1-4 1-4 1-3 1 3 3 0 4 4 3 +1.7
Grant Newell * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 2 +3.5
Moulaye Sissoko * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 0 5 -1.1
Latrell Jossell 29 5-9 3-7 2-4 0 2 2 0 1 15 9 +1.4
Johnathan Massie 25 4-10 1-3 5-7 2 3 0 1 0 14 10 +5.1
Brenen Lorient 25 5-6 0-0 4-5 2 1 2 1 3 14 11 +9.1

* = starter