Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Michael Ajayi * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +9.0 |
| Khalif Battle * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Graham Ike * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | -1.3 |
| Dusty Stromer | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Braden Huff | 20 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Ben Gregg | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | -2.0 |
| J. Coleman-Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Miles Byrd * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| BJ Davis * | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Magoon Gwath * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 24 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Taj Degourville | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Miles Heide | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
* = starter