Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Davidson | 37 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | -17.3 |
| Tyler Rolison | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -13.1 |
| Kobe Sanders | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -15.8 |
| Xavier DuSell | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.2 |
| K.J. Hymes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Justin McBride | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -14.0 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -15.6 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Brandon Love | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Jordan Malmlov | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 34 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | +23.1 |
| Nick Boyd | 26 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Miles Heide | 25 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +13.6 |
| BJ Davis | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +25.6 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8.8 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +12.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +13.1 |
| Taj Degourville | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Cam Lawin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Ryan Schwarz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| D. Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter