Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 39 | 12-18 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 23 | +5.9 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 38 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | +8.0 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 29 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Tru Washington | 28 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 25 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| C.J. Noland | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Braden Appelhans | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rolison | 39 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -7.9 |
| Nick Davidson | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -8.8 |
| Kobe Sanders | 34 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -3.6 |
| Xavier DuSell | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -8.3 |
| Justin McBride | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Brandon Love | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.3 |
| K.J. Hymes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
* = starter