Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 38 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 10-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 15 | -5.5 |
| Tyler Rolison | 37 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Nick Davidson | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -7.7 |
| Xavier DuSell | 30 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -6.9 |
| Justin McBride | 22 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -5.1 |
| K.J. Hymes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Brandon Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Rishwain | 39 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Jaden Henley | 38 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | +11.7 |
| Jalen Hill | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +10.3 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Jailen Bedford | 24 | 2-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +6.9 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.7 |
* = starter