Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +9.3 |
| Andrew Meadow | 34 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | +8.0 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Javan Buchanan | 29 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +1.1 |
| RJ Keene | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | +9.6 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Julian Bowie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 37 | 13-19 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | -5.2 |
| Nick Davidson | 37 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | -5.2 |
| Tyler Rolison | 36 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Xavier DuSell | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | +6.2 |
| Justin McBride | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Brandon Love | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.1 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
* = starter