Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rolison | 39 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -3.4 |
| Nick Davidson | 36 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | +3.2 |
| Xavier DuSell | 34 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Justin McBride | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Kobe Sanders | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +13.6 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Brandon Love | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +8.2 |
| K.J. Hymes | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -16.6 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 35 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 9-10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 27 | +8.1 |
| Jalen Lake | 32 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Kyan. Evans | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Ethan Morton | 30 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2.5 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Bowen Born | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Keshawn Williams | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Nikola Djapa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +5.2 |
* = starter