Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +25 (94-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaon Collins | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -15.2 |
| Jalen Weaver | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Elijah Price | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -6.4 |
| Alex Crawford | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | -20.5 |
| Brian Amuneke | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Jasir Tremble | 21 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -6.2 |
| Mor Seck | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -18.1 |
| Joshua Bonga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 33 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +18.8 |
| Xavier DuSell | 32 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +16.0 |
| Nick Davidson | 31 | 10-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | +13.1 |
| Tyler Rolison | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +17.8 |
| Justin McBride | 25 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +15.1 |
| Tre Coleman | 21 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Love | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| K.J. Hymes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Daniel Foster | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeriah Coleman | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Malmlov | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter