Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -19 (50-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 34 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +19.3 |
| Magoon Gwath | 29 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 22 | +24.7 |
| Nick Boyd | 27 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +15.4 |
| Taj Degourville | 27 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +10.5 |
| Miles Heide | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +24.9 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.3 |
| BJ Davis | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +10.1 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +9.1 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 32 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -9.6 |
| Tre Coleman | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 26 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -23.7 |
| Xavier DuSell | 25 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Justin McBride | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -4.0 |
| K.J. Hymes | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -20.0 |
| Daniel Foster | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -14.2 |
| Tyler Rolison | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 12 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -17.6 |
| Brandon Love | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter