Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.5% | 11.5% | -11.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Davidson | 36 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 26 | -5.7 |
| Kobe Sanders | 33 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Tre Coleman | 30 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Xavier DuSell | 23 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +18.0 |
| Tyler Rolison | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Justin McBride | 18 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +4.2 |
| K.J. Hymes | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Brandon Love | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Crawford | 44 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -9.5 |
| Zaon Collins | 40 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Elijah Price | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Mykell Robinson | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Jalen Weaver | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -12.0 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 18 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Jasir Tremble | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Mor Seck | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Brian Amuneke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
* = starter