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2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +1 (82-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Davidson 41 4-11 4-8 6-8 6 4 0 5 2 18 20 -1.9
T. Coleman 39 5-8 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 12 4 -
K. Sanders 39 6-18 1-2 8-11 5 4 1 1 3 21 11 +1.7
D. Foster 37 2-2 0-0 1-3 7 4 2 0 0 5 16 +3.8
K.J. Hymes 20 2-5 0-0 4-9 4 1 2 1 1 8 10 +2.5
J. McBride 17 3-8 1-4 4-4 4 0 2 0 0 11 9 +4.9
C. Bailey III 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 +2.8
X. DuSell 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -8.0
B. Love 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.2

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Amzil 39 4-11 1-6 5-7 5 4 1 2 2 14 13 +2.2
N. Junior Joseph 39 7-8 0-0 6-9 10 0 1 3 2 20 24 +5.3
D. Dent 39 6-11 0-0 8-9 0 6 1 1 5 20 12 +0.8
F. Borovicanin 27 1-3 1-2 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 9 14 +4.1
T. Washington 25 1-4 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 2 6 1 +0.7
C.J. Noland 22 2-5 1-4 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 7 7 +10.1
B. Appelhans 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 3 3 -5.3
A. Ally Atiki 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.9
K. Dotson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +1.1
J. Milicevic 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -2.9

* = starter