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2024-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 71.6% 28.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Falslev 38 6-10 2-3 0-2 6 5 5 0 2 14 18 +2.5
Tucker Anderson 25 5-9 1-5 5-5 1 3 0 0 0 16 11 +9.1
Aubin Gateretse 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 3 4 0 6 +3.9
Deyton Albury 24 3-5 0-1 2-3 1 3 1 0 0 8 8 +6.0
Ian Martinez 23 6-11 1-6 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 17 9 +2.4
Dexter Akanno 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 4 -2.4
Karson Templin 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 1 4 +2.4
Jordy Barnes 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +0.8
Isaac Johnson 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -0.4
Drake Allen 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 -6.2

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Davidson 35 5-13 1-6 5-5 12 4 1 1 3 16 18 -2.5
Tre Coleman 34 1-7 1-4 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 3 6 -
Kobe Sanders 28 3-11 0-4 2-3 2 4 2 0 2 8 3 -0.3
Justin McBride 21 5-10 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 11 3 -3.8
Daniel Foster 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -1.4
Tyler Rolison 19 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 6 +2.2
Xavier DuSell 18 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 9 +4.8
Chuck Bailey III 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -1.5
K.J. Hymes 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -3.9
Brandon Love 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.2

* = starter