Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +1.8 |
| Jalen Lake | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Kyan. Evans | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -6.5 |
| Ethan Morton | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +6.4 |
| Keshawn Williams | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -12.9 |
| Bowen Born | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Tre Coleman | 30 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 29 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Daniel Foster | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Tyler Rolison | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -11.1 |
| Justin McBride | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +16.3 |
| K.J. Hymes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Brandon Love | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Xavier DuSell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.4 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +16.6 |
* = starter