Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -17 (69-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 35 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 19 | +17.9 |
| Javonté Johnson | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +17.9 |
| Adam Moussa | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | +15.9 |
| Sam Silverstein | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +16.9 |
| Kendal Coleman | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +7.4 |
| AJ Braun | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Martel Williams | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Bradey Henige | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +11.3 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.1 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Weaver | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -17.1 |
| Mykell Robinson | 34 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -13.1 |
| Zaon Collins | 32 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -18.0 |
| Alex Crawford | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -3.6 |
| Elijah Price | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -18.6 |
| Jasir Tremble | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Brian Amuneke | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Mor Seck | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -3.0 |
| Joshua Bonga | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter