Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pierre | 35 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -7.0 |
| K. Bradley Jr. | 34 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -6.7 |
| D. Simon | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.5 |
| S. Jamerson II | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -5.0 |
| D. Dahlke | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -3.7 |
| S. Trouet | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -13.6 |
| C. Brooks | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +5.4 |
| J. Chammaa | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1.3 |
| T. Duckett | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.2 |
| N. Beniwal | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| K. Webb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Weaver | 37 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Z. Collins | 36 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +6.8 |
| A. Crawford | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -7.7 |
| M. Robinson | 30 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2.6 |
| E. Price | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +12.0 |
| P. Geneste Jr. | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +8.8 |
| A. Augillard | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +12.7 |
| B. Amuneke | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| M. Seck | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| J. Tremble | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
* = starter