Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Robinson | 36 | 6-18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Z. Collins | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 17 | -12.7 |
| E. Price | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -10.2 |
| J. Weaver | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.4 |
| A. Crawford | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -1.0 |
| B. Amuneke | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11.4 |
| A. Augillard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3.8 |
| M. Seck | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.7 |
| J. Tremble | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bal | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +6.0 |
| T. Bryan | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | +12.5 |
| C. Tilly | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | +3.1 |
| C. Stewart | 26 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +5.8 |
| E. Mahi | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +18.7 |
| J. Ensminger | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | -2.6 |
| J. O'Neil | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +11.7 |
| B. Knapper | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.9 |
| C. Tongue | 9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -0.3 |
| B. Oboye | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter