Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykell Robinson * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Zaon Collins * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -6.5 |
| Alex Crawford * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -6.4 |
| Elijah Price * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Jalen Weaver * | 23 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Amar Augillard | 18 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Mor Seck | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Jasir Tremble | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Joshua Bonga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Fontenet II * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +6.4 |
| Cole Anderson * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Colin Smith * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Kenny Pohto * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Stephan Swenson * | 22 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +3.3 |
| Deuce Turner | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 15-16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Max Murrell | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Ariel Bland | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Chris Mitchell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Evans Kipruto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter