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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.6 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarvis Moss 35 4-13 3-9 1-2 2 0 2 0 3 12 0 +0.3
Brandon Maclin 31 4-8 0-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 2 12 10 +1.4
Ibu Yamazaki 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -1.4
Josiah Harris 25 7-13 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 15 7 +1.0
Isaiah Gaines 22 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -1.5
Truth Harris 21 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -5.6
Zion Walker 14 4-7 1-2 3-4 3 3 1 0 0 12 12 +7.4
TJ NeSmith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3.0
Xavier Foster 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.2
Tony Felder 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -3.9
Jonas Sirtautas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nique Clifford 33 3-8 1-5 0-0 10 4 1 0 2 7 12 +8.2
Jalen Lake 30 4-11 1-6 2-2 1 7 0 1 1 11 8 +4.3
Kyan. Evans 27 3-5 3-5 6-6 0 4 0 0 2 15 12 -7.0
Rashaan Mbemba 24 6-7 0-0 4-5 6 1 1 1 1 16 17 -4.7
Keshawn Williams 23 7-11 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 16 12 +2.1
Ethan Morton 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 +3.4
Kyle Jorgensen 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 +8.0
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 15 1-3 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 4 1 3 7 +1.0
Bowen Born 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 7 +7.2

* = starter