Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.8 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus Jackson * | 41 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Brandon Weston * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Carlous Williams * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Ronald Jessamy * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Ahmir Langlais * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 33 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Knute Wood | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Josh Ogundele | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Maddux Bodenhamer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Lorick III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford * | 42 | 11-18 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 27 | +3.4 |
| Jalen Lake * | 40 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | -0.7 |
| Ethan Morton * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Kyan. Evans * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -7.9 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +21.0 |
| Bowen Born | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Keshawn Williams | 13 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
* = starter