Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Barrett | 45 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -1.5 |
| A. Marciulionis | 43 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | +0.0 |
| M. Saxen | 40 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +1.1 |
| J. Ross | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -6.8 |
| A. McKeever | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +2.5 |
| M. Lewis | 15 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +1.9 |
| P. Murauskas | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.5 |
| H. Wessels | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.3 |
| J. Dent | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| A. Hardaway | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Degenhart | 41 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | +7.6 |
| A. Cardenas | 41 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +8.2 |
| O. Stanley | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | +6.3 |
| A. Meadow | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +3.7 |
| RJ Keene | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +8.1 |
| J. Buchanan | 26 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -1.0 |
| D. Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bowie | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
* = starter