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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Barrett 45 4-12 3-6 2-2 7 1 0 1 1 13 9 -1.5
A. Marciulionis 43 7-16 0-4 3-4 2 6 0 0 3 17 6 +0.0
M. Saxen 40 2-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 3 1 5 5 +1.1
J. Ross 28 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 4 -6.8
A. McKeever 24 4-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 0 9 12 +2.5
M. Lewis 15 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 8 2 +1.9
P. Murauskas 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -4.5
H. Wessels 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -4.3
J. Dent 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.3
A. Hardaway 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Degenhart 41 5-13 1-6 8-10 1 1 0 0 4 19 4 +7.6
A. Cardenas 41 5-8 1-1 3-3 4 4 1 0 1 14 14 +8.2
O. Stanley 34 5-13 0-1 3-6 11 0 3 3 3 13 14 +6.3
A. Meadow 32 2-5 0-2 5-6 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 +3.7
RJ Keene 30 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 0 5 +8.1
J. Buchanan 26 4-5 2-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 10 13 -1.0
D. Anderson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Bowie 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -1.9
C. Lockett Jr. 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.1

* = starter