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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 ✗ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% - ✗

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (84-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyson Degenhart * 38 8-15 1-5 8-10 7 1 1 1 0 25 20 -13.8
Alvaro Cardenas * 31 3-11 0-3 5-6 3 5 1 0 1 11 8 -11.1
Andrew Meadow * 30 2-8 1-4 7-10 9 1 3 0 0 12 17 -17.1
O'Mar Stanley * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 0 -6.8
Dylan Anderson * 13 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 +3.5
Javan Buchanan 27 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 6 +0.2
RJ Keene 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -11.9
Emmanuel Ugbo 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -14.5
Julian Bowie 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -0.8
Chris Lockett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.2

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ndewedo Newbury * 37 5-8 2-3 2-2 10 3 1 1 4 14 17 +17.2
Carlton Linguard Jr. * 32 3-8 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 3 0 10 11 -
Tyrone Riley IV * 29 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 10 7 +12.9
Marcus Williams * 28 6-12 4-5 4-4 5 6 0 0 2 20 17 +22.7
Malik Thomas * 23 8-13 0-4 6-7 4 2 0 0 2 22 13 +14.0
Ryan Beasley 24 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
Jason Rivera-Torres 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 +3.1
Ro. Beasley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James O'Donnell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4.5
Saba Gigiberia 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3.4

* = starter