Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.8% | 3.2% | -18.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -23 (57-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 29 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +15.8 |
| Andrew Meadow | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +13.5 |
| RJ Keene | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Javan Buchanan | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +16.8 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 22 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +13.2 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +15.3 |
| Chris Lockett | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Julian Bowie | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -12.2 |
| Dylan Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 33 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -23.2 |
| Will Cooper | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -13.9 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -9.8 |
| Chase Beasley | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Byron Brown | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -11.5 |
| Caleb Walker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Yoda Oke | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -11.6 |
| Beau Becker | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Sam Duskin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.1 |
| Sam Springer | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +9.2 |
| A.J. Patterson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
| Kyle Marshall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Josh Gatete | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -2.5 |
* = starter