Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +21 (92-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Marshall | 30 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Will Cooper | 28 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Chase Beasley | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -8.1 |
| Ethan Taylor | 28 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -6 | -11.9 |
| Caleb Walker | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Luke Kearney | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Beau Becker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Byron Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 37 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +6.1 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 22 | +11.5 |
| Tru Washington | 28 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +7.8 |
| C.J. Noland | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Braden Appelhans | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Kayde Dotson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Quinton Webb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
* = starter