Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.6% | 3.4% | -18.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -22 (55-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | +6.7 |
| Jalen Lake | 35 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +13.1 |
| Kyan. Evans | 32 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +15.4 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +11.8 |
| Ethan Morton | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Keshawn Williams | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Nikola Djapa | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Bowen Born | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.8 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -9.1 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 30 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Luke Kearney | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Chase Beasley | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -12.2 |
| Will Cooper | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Caleb Walker | 23 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Byron Brown | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Beau Becker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Sam Duskin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Yoda Oke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Eli Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
* = starter