Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasir Tremble | 44 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Elijah Price | 42 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -4.4 |
| Alex Crawford | 42 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -12.4 |
| Brian Amuneke | 38 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | -4.2 |
| Mor Seck | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +17.8 |
| Joshua Bonga | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.1 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Mills | 44 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Ethan Taylor | 41 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +9.9 |
| Luke Kearney | 39 | 7-17 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Will Cooper | 31 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Chase Beasley | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Beau Becker | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Caleb Walker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Byron Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.3 |
* = starter