Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 35 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -17.0 |
| Luke Kearney | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -13.0 |
| Will Cooper | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9.3 |
| Kyle Marshall | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -15.5 |
| Byron Brown | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Caleb Walker | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| A.J. Patterson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Beau Becker | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Sam Duskin | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Sam Springer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Yoda Oke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Josh Gatete | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +13.6 |
| Julian Rishwain | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +13.1 |
| Jaden Henley | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +14.1 |
| Jailen Bedford | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +14.4 |
| Jalen Hill | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +16.8 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| DeMarion Yap | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Luke Naser | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter