Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Morgan | 32 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | -0.7 |
| Drue Drinnon | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 30 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Tylan Pope | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Coleton Benson | 21 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Christian Turner | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nate Deer | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.1 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leland Walker | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Baba Miller | 33 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | +1.2 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +2.2 |
| KyKy Tandy | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +1.4 |
| Tre Carroll | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Kaleb Glenn | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
* = starter