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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Newby * 36 3-9 0-3 6-6 3 6 1 0 4 12 9 -
Nolan Hodge * 30 3-6 1-1 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
Sean Moore * 24 3-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 7 1 -
G. Williams * 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 5 6 -
Khamari McGriff * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
Josh Corbin 31 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 9 9 -
Harlan Obioha 25 4-8 0-0 4-5 5 2 1 5 2 12 15 -
Bo Montgomery 25 3-10 1-5 2-2 9 3 3 0 3 9 11 -

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Felton * 35 1-12 0-3 1-2 6 0 1 0 5 3 -7 -
Jordan Riley * 35 6-11 1-3 1-2 7 0 5 0 3 14 12 -
C.J. Walker * 32 6-12 1-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 16 5 -
Cam Hayes * 15 1-3 1-2 0-2 3 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
Trevion LaBeaux * 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Julien Soumaoro 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 7 0 -
Jayshayne Woodard 23 2-3 0-1 4-4 7 1 1 3 2 8 15 -
Yann Farell 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Cyr Malonga 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Bencao Vungo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Callum Richard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Reid Cason 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter