Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -14 (63-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Graves | 32 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +14.5 |
| Kylan Blackmon | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +5.3 |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +8.2 |
| Dean Reiber | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | +17.4 |
| Robert Braswell | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +13.1 |
| Nika Metskhvarishvili | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +17.4 |
| Isaiah Folkes | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Rich Rolf | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Nick Richart | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -4.9 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 35 | 5-19 | 2-13 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | -14.5 |
| Nick McMullen | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -12.6 |
| Zarique Nutter | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Malachi Brown | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Clash Peters | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -18.4 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Cesare Edwards | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.1 |
| Darnell Evans | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Malik Ferguson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Jason Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter