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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Georgia State Panthers -14 (63-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Graves 32 5-7 0-2 5-9 2 2 1 1 1 15 13 +14.5
K. Blackmon 26 0-4 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 +5.3
J. Thomas 25 6-10 0-0 1-3 7 2 1 0 2 13 11 +8.2
D. Reiber 23 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 7 0 1 0 5 14 +17.4
R. Braswell IV 23 5-9 1-4 8-10 2 2 3 0 1 19 16 +13.1
N. Metskhvarishvili 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 3 5 +17.4
I. Folkes 21 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 3 10 7 +1.9
R. Rolf 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 +0.3
N. Richart 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1.0
A. Szymczyk 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -4.9

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lane 35 5-19 2-13 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 13 0 -14.5
N. McMullen 31 5-10 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 13 9 -12.6
Z. Nutter 27 7-10 0-0 5-9 2 0 1 0 3 19 9 -4.2
M. Brown 24 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 4 3 -8.3
C. Peters 22 0-3 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 3 0 3 12 -18.4
J. Hamilton 19 1-6 0-3 5-6 3 0 2 0 1 7 5 -0.6
C. Edwards 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 3 -12.1
D. Evans 16 0-1 0-0 2-3 1 1 3 0 3 2 3 -2.1
M. Ferguson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.9
J. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0

* = starter