Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | +4.5 |
| TJ Long * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Ileri Ayo-Faleye * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Jace Roquemore * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +3.7 |
| Nick Fiorillo * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Sam Alamutu | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Noah Barnett | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Sean Blake | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Shy Odom | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Bleechmore * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Noah Best * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -2.2 |
| M. Riek * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Braden Sparks * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Isaac Munkadi * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5.4 |
| J. Bergens | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +0.7 |
| P. Johnson | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +2.4 |
| B. Seck | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Deon Perry | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Peyton Smith | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Michael Rogan | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.8 |
* = starter