Model Predictions
| Model | Howard Bison | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | โ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | โ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | โ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Harper * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -12.5 |
| Marcus Dockery * | 38 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -13.3 |
| Anwar Gill * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -17.0 |
| Joshua Strong * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12.7 |
| Bryce Harris * | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Ose Okojie | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -8.5 |
| Dom Campbell | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Miles Stewart | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -11.0 |
| Cameron Shockley-Okeke | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -8.6 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine * | 34 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +17.1 |
| Louie Jordan * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +29.5 |
| Josh Odunowo * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +12.0 |
| Devan Sapp * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Marlon Short * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| M. Banks Jr. | 31 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +21.2 |
| Bryce Johnson | 28 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 16 | +4.9 |
| JC Harris | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Tim Eze | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter