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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Howard Bison UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 โœ“ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Howard Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Harper * 39 7-14 0-3 6-7 1 1 2 0 1 20 9 -12.5
Marcus Dockery * 38 5-11 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 14 6 -13.3
Anwar Gill * 34 4-12 0-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 9 1 -17.0
Joshua Strong * 22 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 3 7 -12.7
Bryce Harris * 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 +0.3
Ose Okojie 26 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 11 13 -8.5
Dom Campbell 21 5-7 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 11 11 -0.4
Miles Stewart 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 4 -11.0
Cameron Shockley-Okeke 7 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -8.6

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ace Valentine * 34 6-7 1-1 3-4 4 7 0 1 1 16 20 +17.1
Louie Jordan * 30 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 5 7 +29.5
Josh Odunowo * 27 7-9 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 16 10 +12.0
Devan Sapp * 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 1 -13.5
Marlon Short * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 +2.7
M. Banks Jr. 31 5-13 3-7 4-4 6 2 3 0 0 17 15 +21.2
Bryce Johnson 28 10-15 4-7 4-6 1 0 1 1 0 28 16 +4.9
JC Harris 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 +10.5
Daylon Dickerson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.1
Tim Eze 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter